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xen

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Everything posted by xen
 
 
  1. BPA at 32 I don't care what position. When you are picking that late you essentially have a 2nd rd pick. You are sifting through the second tier of players. Find the best one that fits what you want to do regardless of position. Personally I prefer a trade back. It is common for some teams to want to get a jumpstart on day 2 so maybe we can entice some offers. Interior Oline and RBs can be had all over the draft so no need to lock in there unless you love the player. CB would be nice but by this point they all have flaws. Couple of good athletic LBs we could probably target but that might necessitate a trade up. Just see what falls and go from there.
  2. lol why would the Redskins just give away the 2 overall? That's essentially what you have them doing here.
  3. These super heavy running teams are a reaction to the lighter back 7's teams are running to combat the pass happy trend. It will pass (pun intended). None of them have won the Superbowl and I'm not sure any will. Championships tend to come down lately to offensively leaning teams with Great (not just Good) QBs and ok to good defenses. Recent superbowl champions and their DVOA rankings: 2020 KC - 14th in defensive DVOA, 3rd in offensive DVOA 2019 NE - 16th in defensive DVOA, 5th in offensive DVOA 2018 Philly - 5th in defensive DVOA, 8th in offensive DVOA 2017 NE - 16th in defensive DVOA, 2nd in offensive DVOA 2016 Den - 1st in defensive DVOA, 25th in offensive DVOA (outlier, remember Manning was hurt then came back for the playoffs. The Brock Osweiler Experience ran the last half season or so after KC murdered Manning) 2015 - NE - 12th in defensive DVOA, 6th in offensive DVOA.
  4. https://www.si.com/nfl/2020/02/05/business-of-football-tom-brady-patrick-mahomes-contracts The Most Likely Outcomes as Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady Negotiate New Contracts This offseason will have a QB market like we've never seen before, and our Business of Football analyst has an idea of what to expect as Patrick Mahomes and Tom Brady negotiate their next contracts. ANDREW BRANDT FEB 5, 2020 Before getting to the column on Tom Brady’s future employer and Patrick Mahomes’s contract, a word about the man receiving a well-deserved love-fest this week: Andy Reid. I was Matt Hasselbeck’s agent when he was coming out of Boston College in 1998. Matt was not invited to the combine, so we arranged a one-day tryout at BC and invited every team in the league. One team responded: the Packers, who sent a quarterbacks coach named Andy Reid. With Reid our only guest, I offered to pick him up at Logan airport and drive him to the workout. Well, that presented a problem, as 1) I had never met or seen Reid; and 2) I drove a tiny sports car. When Reid reached my car, we both laughed. I hastily pushed the passenger seat all the way back, threw everything in the trunk and squeezed him in the passenger seat like a jack-in-the-box. Notwithstanding the drive, he loved Matt and convinced the Packers to draft him in the sixth round. And that was how Matt’s 18-year career began. And when I moved to Philadelphia from Green Bay, 10 years ago, the last thing I wanted to do was to work for another NFL team, but Andy—and Eagles president Joe Banner—called needing some help and I couldn’t resist. I helped them out as a consultant for a couple of years and saw Andy’s calm and thoughtful leadership of the Eagles. I have lived in Green Bay and suburban Philadelphia, both minutes from where Andy lived. His impact and that of his family clearly resonate; he and his wife Tammy have left indelible impressions on communities. The NFL world loves Andy Reid, and that is rightfully being felt through the football world right now. *** Skipping the tom brady crap *** MVP-level contract for Mahomes? Maybe, but not now Another potential quarterback contract involves the most discussed NFL player over the past month, the past week and perhaps the next decade. Now that the CBA-mandated three-year waiting period for renegotiation of a player’s rookie contract has passed, the Chiefs can address Patrick Mahomes’s contract. And the narrative is that 1) the Chiefs will get this done; and 2) the contract will be craaaazzzzyyy! As readers of this space know, if and when the contract is completed, we need to see through the hype. Numbers will blare with “up to $200 million in total value!” and “up to $40 million per year!,” but, as we know, the saying “the devil is in the details” is nowhere more applicable than with NFL contracts. Here are the questions that I—and those in the business of football, including agents and teams—will want to know: What is the cash flow after one, two and three years? What is the true (no contingencies) guarantee at the time of signing? Is the third year fully guaranteed, with no contingencies? The fourth year? The entire contract? NFL teams have fallen into a pattern with elite quarterback contracts: a huge signing bonus and early “guarantees” for up to three years with nonguaranteed earnings after that. Even for the best players in the NFL—save the unique situation of Kirk Cousins—a fully guaranteed contract similar to NBA or MLB player deals has been unattainable. Far from free Here is the “problem” for Mahomes and his agent Leigh Steinberg: The Chiefs have two years of contract control over Mahomes, plus potential franchise tags. The rookie compensation system allows management to control the contracts of even the best of the best. Thus, they will not succumb to any groundbreaking structure. Thus, they will likely offer Mahomes a huge bonus that will both give him a lifetime of financial security and be too enticing for he and Steinberg to turn down. And beyond the massive early money of the deal, the Chiefs will have the terms they desire, including contingent guarantees past the early low-risk part of the contract, even for the league’s most important player. The only way elite players will ever break the guarantee ceiling as NBA and MLB players have done is to gain true leverage by waiting to get as close as possible to free agency. Or, as in the case of Cousins, to make it there. It is very hard for superstar young quarterbacks to wait, knowing teams have the weapon of the franchise tag in their pocket. Teams know this and use it strategically. In the past couple of years, superstars like Aaron Rodgers and Russell Wilson could have really pressured their teams—and the league—by waiting, but they could not resist accepting contracts. We’ll see if Mahomes and, to a lesser extent, Dak Prescott, can wait; my sense is they can’t and won’t. It is true that the Mahomes contract numbers, when negotiated, will be craaaazzzzzyyyyy! But, unless Mahomes can wait until closer to free agency, it is the Chiefs, not Mahomes, who will ultimately “win” this negotiation.
  5. Where you getting that info? I know there have been longer contracts than that. Vick and Bledsoe come to mind, but that's been a while. Not saying it isn't true but I don't remember seeing this info anywhere. Also can't find anything on the interwebs but maybe my google fu is wack.
  6. I don't know why I believe this, but I have always felt like Mahomes will be smart when it comes to contract demands and will put the team above his salary. I have no facts to back that up, just a feeling. The question is, how much pressure will there be from the rest of the league and how will Pat react to that? By that I mean very few players have been in position to push the envelope when it comes to resetting the market. Patrick is one of those. There has to be pressure from other players to reset the market cause it means more money for them too.
  7. I gained a new appreciation for Kittle as a blocker in this game. Man that guy hits like a truck. Would be a blast to sit down for beers with him and Kelce.
  8. Unknown. I'm assuming in a contract like that you'd have quite a bit in guaranteed money. The current CBA only allows you to spread guaranteed money for 5 years but that's one of the things the players union wants to get rid of in this CBA. The other problem would be that guaranteed money has to be fully funded up front, even if the player doesn't get it all right away. Union wants to get rid of that too. It's a relic from when the league was in much worse shape financially. Hell if he wins 2 more just give him Lamar Junior's share of the franchise. He doesn't do anything anyway. $8/year salary. Suck it NFL.
  9. That would put him right around 15% of the cap. Which might be important considering no QB has ever won the superbowl while counting more than 15% against the cap. Sold. Let's do this! He deserves more though. Can't wait to see what the final contract looks like. If I was Mahomes, I'd just ask for 15% of the cap straight up. No set dollar amount, just 15% each year, fully guaranteed. Course I'd also wait for the new CBA.
  10. Here's a nice primer on EPA for those that want more info. Here's a longer explanation: https://www.advancedfootballanalytics.com/index.php/home/stats/stats-explained/expected-points-and-epa-explained
  11. Ok you're really straining right now. How about this... by y'alls logic, Matt Moore has played longer than Pat. That must mean he's a better QB. I can't wait for the QB controversy this offseason. Who has Matt Moore?
  12. Just started this. 40 mins long so may take me a while. But lol in the beginning when Spags asks Honeybadger who DJ Khaled is? Who's this dude? That's DJ Khaled Is he a rapper? We're all with ya, Spags. Ain't nobody knows what the hell DJ Khaled actually does.
 
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