Mloe68

Brady was an offsides penalty from throwing three INTs against a historically bad defense at Arrowhead last year. It helps. But you are correct high level QBs, modern technology and silent counts mitigate the huge advantage.

Playing one extra game and two division winners on the road is without question a more difficult path. But it is what it is. It’s tougher but it’s what we’ve got to do.

First off we don’t struggle a little bit in the red zone. We rank 23rd in the NFL there. It’s a weakness. Our speed as an offense is mitigated as the field is squeezed and it plays into our biggest weakness which is an interior running game. Meanwhile we have an elite kicker. Playing against a stout run defense makes it worse. We may convert a 4th down but the odds are still only 53-47 we score a TD. I read all of Keysors stuff too and enjoy it. But he’s also on board with basically abandoning the running game all together based on the same analytics. .Coaches have to have a feel for the situation and make judgments based on their massive wealth of knowledge. That should definitely contextually include analytics; which tell him what already happened. Useful information and should be treated as such… but that’s where it ends. - a good line from the article below https://www.trendingbuffalo.com/sports/buffalo-bills/5-reasons-football-analytics-arent-as-great-as-you-think-they-are/

Hey Steve Spagnuola has already done it twice as a DC. So why not! Key other than obviously winning each week is how we come out physically.

When you completely take the AFC out of the equation it really narrows the odds of it happening at all. Under normal conditions it’s not that unusual. Just off hand I remember three different teams the Chiefs played in the wild card round that have gone on to win the Super Bowl. Get hot and most importantly healthy in January. That’s the key.

It hasn’t happened at all recently in part because the Patriots have run off 12-14 wins per season the last five years and then dominated at home in the playoffs. Before that though the Super Bowl champion went through the wild card round five times In seven years (2007-2013)

If it plays out as expected the Pats will have two weeks to prepare for us if we win opener. Their entire dynasty could fall that day so we can be sure we’d get every trick they have in the book and some unseen scheme to try and confuse Mahomes. No doubt the Ravens will be rooting hard for them too. No way NE can win in Baltimore. We can though.

If we had the same playoff draw as last year I’d be unbelievably confident we were headed for Miami. Not the way it works though. Tough road ahead but I think we are legitimately capable. I just hope we’ve saved our best for last.

Not sure if it’s been mentioned but Fuller was used a lot as a deep safety and excelled at it vs the Bears. Allowed Honey Badger to play closer to the LOS and slot corner. With that type of versatility from Fuller, Thornhill and HB it gives Spags a lot of ways to disguise coverages. I’d love to see more and Fuller extended if this continues.

Just put $100 at 8-1 at MGM Las Vegas. Pretty good value for a team with a legit shot. Ravens are big favorites in the AFC now for good reason. Only legit threat If they don’t crap the bed is KC. And we’ve got a some tough challenges to get that chance. Packers are gonna get the 1 seed and be really tough to beat at home. So I’ll say Packers vs Ravens if Baltimore doesn’t have to play KC. Super Bowl 1 rematch if they do.

My bad then. I know he graded out as our best dlinemen on PFF in limited snaps. I also read after the game Andy Reid said they expect more snaps for him going forward.

Not much production as teams continue to run away from him as he’s been very consistent at setting the edge. Did have his 6th sack in 7 games though even as he continues to battle back from losing 35 pounds this year from the stomach ailment. We haven’t gotten the game wrecker enough we paid for because of that. But unlike a player like Dee Ford who sits out if has a hangnail, Clark battles through and finds ways to make a difference. A BIG part of our turnaround.

This may actually be a net gain. With Williams and Shady healthy we should.be okay there. But you can never have enough quality depth on the Dline rotation.

Difference is with this QB we beat the red hot Colts like a drum anyway. Gotta be good enough not to get bit by the unfortunate when it strikes. We weren’t there yet against World Champs. Something tells me once we break through and win Lombardi it’ll seem like breaks for our way more. This head coach keeps knocking down decades worth of bad luck one playoff win at a time.

Bosa and Ingram absolutely destroyed our oline last game and that’s what scares me most. Mahomes taking hits.

He completed 72 percent of his passes and averages 66 percent on the season. So yes, it was good by his standards.

We had several situations earlier in the game we kicked FGs at 3rd and short. And a case can be made there. But we also have really had issues in the red zone and that has to be considered before just making the decision your going to not take 3 points when they are available at a very high percentage. Late in the game we had two fourth and 8's we decided to kick FGs. One put us up by 5. The other was botched and would have put us up by 8. Play call there let Mahomes roll out with Kelce as primary but the MVP had options. We didn't get it blocked. And then screwed up the kick. People complain about play calling when it doesn't work. But unless you are down by 10 and throwing screen passes 3rd and 18, it's a very subjective thing where fans aren't privy too and largely don't understand all that's involved.

I was at the game and he was a little rusty with some of the intermediate throws. But hey, he threw for 445 yards and 3 TDs. I didn't see play calling as an issue. It was penalties, a bad turnover and two special teams miscues that cost us. Perfect storm of usual plays. The kind of stuff that happens routinely against the Titans unfortunately.

I’m not buying that. At this point a week off for dinged up players is invaluable. However I do think Baltimore is walking a fine line with 3 weeks between games from its best players.

Texans play at 3 so they get a massive advantage of knowing what they should do.

True but let’s face it. If Baltimore was taking that game seriously the Steelers chances would go way down. Tenn could still legitimately back it’s way in.

Personally I’d rather catch the Ravens on what will be three weeks rest for some of the core team. I feel like two weeks for BB to prepare to play us for.a second time in five weeks gives them more advantage. Obviously IF we win on Jan 4. I do think starters will play but if NE has a big lead you may start to see backups.

His defenses twice broke into the top 5 in year two after inheriting bottom 5 defenses. So I’m expecting the D to be better next year with Spags. I can’t see him getting a job after a few flops. Looks more like the classic d coordinator. But Andy’s coaching tree runs deep so you never know.