KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 5, 2014 Author Share Posted November 5, 2014 I might be with CWil on this one - might - In terms of the Browns, sure have them beat a good team because they will lose later, but I want the Bengals to beat everybody so that the Steelers and Ravens have to battle more for a spot. The Bengals are the most beatable in the playoffs should we face them. But I had Browns over Bengals first, so let's see where I fall by tomorrow mid-day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
artsy 1,137 Posted November 5, 2014 Share Posted November 5, 2014 Jets beating the Steelers???? Okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 5, 2014 Author Share Posted November 5, 2014 Jets beating the Steelers???? Okay. Not a prediction thread. Just who we hope to win or lose. Ties are not allowed. Or am I reading your post wrong? Are you responding like, "a million dollars? Don't mind if I do" way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 7, 2014 Author Share Posted November 7, 2014 I haven't seen any of the game yet, but have decided that it is best for the Bengals to lose. It isn't to "give one to the Browns," but rather, "don't miss out on the WC because the Bengals win one too many and the Steelers/Ravens stay/get hot to win their division." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CWil 30 Posted November 7, 2014 Share Posted November 7, 2014 I haven't seen any of the game yet, but have decided that it is best for the Bengals to lose. It isn't to "give one to the Browns," but rather, "don't miss out on the WC because the Bengals win one too many and the Steelers/Ravens stay/get hot to win their division." I was more picking Bengals based on schedules going forward Browns- vs Texans, @ Falcons, @ Bills, vs Colts, vs Bengals, @ Panthers, @ Ravens- they could get 5 wins out of this Bengals- @ Saints, @ Texans, @ Bucs, vs Steelers, @ Browns, vs Broncos, @ Steelers But I guess looking at this now after the game, Bengals might fall way out of contention in the next few weeks if they don't keep winning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 7, 2014 Author Share Posted November 7, 2014 Yeah, Bengals' schedule is harder, but they've been a lucky team, in my opinion. Not as good as their so-so record, but squeak out wins by missed field goals, etc. More last year than this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 8, 2014 Author Share Posted November 8, 2014 Week 10 Browns @ Bengals - I might be wrong if the Bengals are anywhere near as bad as they were, but thought they were a bigger risk of a WC if Steelers/Ravens win their division. Chiefs @ Bills - Obvious Dolphins @ Lions - NFC over AFC. Cowboys @ Jaguars - NFC winning helps our draft picks w/I hurting playoff chances. 49ers @ Saints - "The 49ers winning looks better on the Chiefs SOS" Titans @ Ravens - Ravens are WC candidate. "Titans win also helps SOS." Steelers @ Jets - AFC WC teams need to lose. Falcons @ Buccaneers - Same as Cowboys game. Broncos @ Raiders - Obvious, plus off chance of avoiding first overall pick to Raiders. Rams @ Cardinals- "Helps SOS and could cause Arizona to get a bit overconfident coming into KC game?" Giants @ Seahawks - "Seahawks are a step closer to not hitting panic mode before playing KC." Bears @ Packers - Same as Cowboys, but opposite could help draft, too if Bears turn it around. Panthers @ Eagles - Same as Packers' game. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 10, 2014 Author Share Posted November 10, 2014 Jets beating the Steelers???? Okay. Yep. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 10, 2014 Author Share Posted November 10, 2014 Week 10 Browns @ Bengals - I might be wrong if the Bengals are anywhere near as bad as they were, but thought they were a bigger risk of a WC if Steelers/Ravens win their division. Chiefs @ Bills - Obvious Dolphins @ Lions - NFC over AFC. Cowboys @ Jaguars - NFC winning helps our draft picks w/I hurting playoff chances. 49ers @ Saints - "The 49ers winning looks better on the Chiefs SOS" Titans @ Ravens - Ravens are WC candidate. "Titans win also helps SOS." Steelers @ Jets - AFC WC teams need to lose. Falcons @ Buccaneers - Same as Cowboys game. Broncos @ Raiders - Obvious, plus off chance of avoiding first overall pick to Raiders. Rams @ Cardinals- "Helps SOS and could cause Arizona to get a bit overconfident coming into KC game?" Giants @ Seahawks - "Seahawks are a step closer to not hitting panic mode before playing KC." Bears @ Packers - Same as Cowboys, but opposite could help draft, too if Bears turn it around. Panthers @ Eagles - Same as Packers' game. Got all but the Titans-Ravens and Broncos-Raiders. One more tonight, but 10-2 so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
West 6,713 Posted November 10, 2014 Share Posted November 10, 2014 Great week for KC.... That Steelers loss was a surprise.... Miami losing was a nice bonus too. w Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 11, 2014 Author Share Posted November 11, 2014 Got all but the Titans-Ravens and Broncos-Raiders. One more tonight, but 10-2 so far. Now, 11-2 this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 11, 2014 Author Share Posted November 11, 2014 52-34 since Week Five if I count ties as wins and wins over the division twice (but not losses, just cuz). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kccrow 529 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 Pretty good stuff when what you want to happen does happen 60% of the time. If you could figure out how to apply this methodology to the Chiefs getting SuperBowl victories, then all the better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 The percentage is skewed because I root for NFC favorites, not underdogs, because the more NFC teams with a better record than we have, the better the draft pick. The worse the records of AFC teams, the better chances we have of the playoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhataLerror 370 Posted November 12, 2014 Share Posted November 12, 2014 When preparing the next installment of The Rooting Guide, you may want to consider the following: • If the Chiefs win out, they're guaranteed first place in the AFC West (as they will hold the common games tiebreaker over the Broncos) and a first-week playoff bye. If the Patriots drop any one of their remaining games, the Chiefs would also have home field advantage throughout the playoffs. • I don't have time to go over all of the permutations now, but I suspect that the Raiders could be mathematically eliminated from post-season contention before their game time on Sunday afternoon. They haven't been able to play well all season for their own sake, but maybe if they're mad at the world, they can take out their anger on the Chargers that afternoon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Oh yeah, rooting for the Raiders in every division game except against us. Rooting for Broncos over Chargers just in case, because we have one more against the Chargers. We have a chance to get the division, but I want to secure playoffs if we do lose some. Eliminating other WC's is the focus while winning ours. Of course, rooting against Broncos in every game that doesn't involve us or a WC hopeful in our way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Buffalo or Miami? I'd say Buffalo because I think they have less chance at a WC, but if they beat Miami, they'd have more chance at a WC and I would wish later that Miami won (because Miami would drop elsewhere). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 12, 2014 Author Share Posted November 12, 2014 Kansas City over Seattle: Obvious. St. Louis over Denver: Obvious. Raiders over San Diego: Only SD is a WC threat. Buffalo over Miami: I think they have less chance at a WC, but if they beat Miami, they'd have more chance at a WC and I would wish later that Miami won (because Miami would drop elsewhere). New Orleans over Cincinnati: NFC over AFC. Houston over Cleveland: Browns are a bigger WC threat, IMO. New England over Indianapolis: Could be talked out of this, but it looks like our best chance of getting a bye week if Denver falls is for the Colts to lose more. Patriots won't lose enough. Plus, SOS. Niners over Giants: SOS. Draft pick is better if NFC teams have better record w/I hurting playoff chances. Chicago over Minnesota: Too many people crowned Chicago after win over Niners. Not many, but too much. However, they are underdogs it seems. Green Bay over Philadelphia: Same reason as Niners game, though I suspect this would be too good for Jerry Jones. Arizona over Detroit: Get Arizona overconfident and raise SOS for later. Washington over Tampa Bay: Might as well give one to them. Jerry Jobes? Just kidding. Atlanta over Carolina: Punish them in my rankings for their tie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 18, 2014 Author Share Posted November 18, 2014 Kansas City over Seattle: Got it! St. Louis over Denver: Got it! Raiders over San Diego: Almost. Buffalo over Miami: Nope. New Orleans over Cincinnati: Nope. Houston over Cleveland: Got it. New England over Indianapolis: Got it. Niners over Giants: Got it. Chicago over Minnesota: Got it. Green Bay over Philadelphia: Got it. Arizona over Detroit: Got it. Washington over Tampa Bay: Nope. Atlanta over Carolina: Got it. 9-4. Not bad, especially the first two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 18, 2014 Author Share Posted November 18, 2014 52-34 since Week Five if I count ties as wins and wins over the division twice (but not losses, just cuz). Now 61-38 (61.6%). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smoulder 89 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 The NFL gods are rolling our the red carpet for us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 19, 2014 Author Share Posted November 19, 2014 Week 12 Chiefs over Raiders: Obvious. Rams over Chargers: Obvious. Need them playing for their playoff lives against Denver, but out of it against us. Miami over Denver: Obvious - except Broncos won't lose three in a row, so maybe we want them to beat a WC foe? Nah - go for the division and bye! If we lose to the Broncos, Miami loss would help. But so would a Denver loss. Lions over Patriots: NFC over Top Seed Foe (Can't believe I typed that for us) New Orleans over Baltimore: Hurts WC foe without helping any AFC teams. Atlanta over Cleveland: NFC over WC foe. Jaguars over Colts: In case we win the division but don't get a bye week, we need a better record than the Colts. Texans over Cincinnati: This might hurt us because PIT/BAL are more dangerous to play in WC, but Texans won't make playoffs. Jets over Buffalo: We're looking for the division or bye week, but we have to have WC teams lose, too. Arizona over Seattle: Need them to less need to beat us or to get too confident. Philadelphia over Titans: Helps draft pick without hurting playoff chances. Green Bay over Minnesota: Helps draft pick without hurting playoff chances.Niners over Redskins: Helps draft pick w/o hurting playoff chances. Dallas over New York Giants: Same as above. Chicago over Tampa Bay: Maybe they run the table and we end up 10-6? LOL. We'd need them to help our draft pick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jetlord 10,209 Posted November 19, 2014 Share Posted November 19, 2014 The MIA/DEN game is a tough one to call. With the head to head tie breaker over the Dolphins, it's hard to see the Chiefs being beat out of the WC by them. Also, the Chiefs certainly have to beat DEN the next week to have any chance at winning the division so maybe another Donk loss would be a good thing. At the same time, elimination of any WC competitor, MIA, is a good thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 19, 2014 Author Share Posted November 19, 2014 Yep, Jetlord. Win/Win, Lose/Lose. Tiebreaker goes to Denver losing, but do you see them losing three in a row? I know that streaks don't neccesarily affect any given game, I just don't want them to truly refocus. Have them L/W/L/W/L/W/L the rest of the season. It would work out best that way. (Because they aren't going to go L(Pats game)/W/L/W/L/L/L/L/L) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KCSLC2008 606 Posted November 25, 2014 Author Share Posted November 25, 2014 Week 12 Chiefs over Raiders: Obvious. Rams over Chargers: Obvious. Need them playing for their playoff lives against Denver, but out of it against us. Miami over Denver: Obvious - except Broncos won't lose three in a row, so maybe we want them to beat a WC foe? Nah - go for the division and bye! If we lose to the Broncos, Miami loss would help. But so would a Denver loss. Lions over Patriots: NFC over Top Seed Foe (Can't believe I typed that for us) New Orleans over Baltimore: Hurts WC foe without helping any AFC teams. Atlanta over Cleveland: NFC over WC foe. Jaguars over Colts: In case we win the division but don't get a bye week, we need a better record than the Colts. Texans over Cincinnati: This might hurt us because PIT/BAL are more dangerous to play in WC, but Texans won't make playoffs. Jets over Buffalo: We're looking for the division or bye week, but we have to have WC teams lose, too. Arizona over Seattle: Need them to less need to beat us or to get too confident. Philadelphia over Titans: Helps draft pick without hurting playoff chances. Green Bay over Minnesota: Helps draft pick without hurting playoff chances. Niners over Redskins: Helps draft pick w/o hurting playoff chances. Dallas over New York Giants: Same as above. Chicago over Tampa Bay: Maybe they run the table and we end up 10-6? LOL. We'd need them to help our draft pick. Not good. 6-9. Worst 6. That's what we get for bragging. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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